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The Most Disaster-Prone Cities in Texas

The Most Disaster-Prone Cities in Texas

Texas has seen much growth over the last few years as people move from other places, and the existing population within the state continues to increase. There’s a lot to love in Texas, from the family-friendly atmosphere to famous cities like Dallas and Houston. However, there are some risks to consider, especially when it comes to the potential of inclement weather. If you’re considering moving to The Lone Star State, you should think twice about some of the most disaster-prone cities in Texas.

Texas is a big state with many safe communities, but some areas are more prone to disaster and weather phenomena than others. Take Galveston for instance. While the city has friendly people and a great culture, you have an increased risk of heat waves, hurricanes, lightning, tornadoes, and extreme winter weather. Another famous city is Corpus Christi, TX in Nueces County. There’s a lot to see and do in the city. However, go at the wrong time, and you could face the potential risk of ice storms, tornadoes, and cold snaps during the winter. While the chance of experiencing these risks may depend on what time of the year you’re there, think about them before buying a house and calling the place home.

It’s natural for people to fear weather disasters, which is why many disaster-prone cities in Texas are experiencing steep population decline. For instance, the lovely town of Lufkin, TX has experienced close to a 5% population decline since 2017. In Nacogdoches, TX, the population decline is over 3%. With that said, many of the cities on this list are experiencing major population growth. Ultimately, where you live is your decision, but we encourage you to learn the facts before you go. (After this article, check out the 25 US Cities Best Prepared to Handle a Natural Disaster.)

Methodology: 

To determine the most disaster-prone cities in Texas, 24/7 Tempo reviewed data on natural hazard risk for U.S. census tracts from the March 2023 FEMA National Risk Index dataset. Cities were ranked based on the average National Risk Index score – a composite risk score of 18 natural hazards: avalanche, coastal flooding, cold wave, drought, earthquake, hail, heat wave, hurricane, ice storm, landslide, lightning, riverine flooding, strong wind, tornado, tsunami, volcanic activity, wildfire, and winter weather – for all census tracts within their borders. Data was aggregated from the census tract level to the city level using spatial boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau’s TIGER/Line program. Supplemental data on the total value of all owner-occupied homes and populations is from the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey. Only places with at least 25,000 residents were considered.

50. Weatherford, TX

Source: 0ccam / Flickr

Source: 0ccam / Flickr
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 74.8/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $2.2 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +11.6%
  • Total population: 32,168

49. Kyle, TX

Source: nolagirl1969 / Flickr

Source: nolagirl1969 / Flickr
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 75.8/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $3.2 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +31.3%
  • Total population: 48,484

48. San Juan, TX

Texas State on the map
Source: Alexander Lukatskiy / Shutterstock.com

Source: Alexander Lukatskiy / Shutterstock.com
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 76.0/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $0.9 million
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: -2.8%
  • Total population: 35,463

47. Lufkin, TX

Source: Roberto Galan / iStock Editorial via Getty Images

Source: Roberto Galan / iStock Editorial via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 77.2/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $1.2 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: -4.8%
  • Total population: 34,165

46. Nacogdoches, TX

Source: Marti157900 / iStock via Getty Images

Source: Marti157900 / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 77.3/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $0.8 million
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: -4.3%
  • Total population: 32,148

45. Lewisville, TX

Source: Matthew Riding / iStock via Getty Images

Source: Matthew Riding / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 77.8/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $7.9 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +20.6%
  • Total population: 125,028

44. Cleburne, TX

Source: SG2002 / iStock via Getty Images

Source: SG2002 / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 78.2/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $1.2 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +7.6%
  • Total population: 31,849

43. Pharr, TX

Source: DavieJones13 / iStock via Getty Images

Source: DavieJones13 / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 78.4/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $1.7 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +3.5%
  • Total population: 79,434

42. Longview, TX

Source: Roberto Galan / iStock Editorial via Getty Images

Source: Roberto Galan / iStock Editorial via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 78.4/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $3.3 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: -0.1%
  • Total population: 82,176

41. Denton, TX

Source: Marti157900 / iStock via Getty Images

Source: Marti157900 / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 78.9/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $8.1 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +8.5%
  • Total population: 142,262

40. Amarillo, TX

Source: DenisTangneyJr / iStock via Getty Images

Source: DenisTangneyJr / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 79.4/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $9.8 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +1.3%
  • Total population: 200,360

39. Huntsville, TX

Source: Jacob Boomsma / iStock via Getty Images

Source: Jacob Boomsma / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 80.3/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $1.1 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +13.4%
  • Total population: 46,202

38. Mission, TX

Mission. Texas. USA
Source: SevenMaps / Shutterstock.com

Source: SevenMaps / Shutterstock.com
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 80.7/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $3.4 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +3.3%
  • Total population: 85,755

37. Plano, TX

Source: Gary Fink / iStock via Getty Images

Source: Gary Fink / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 81.9/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $28.6 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +1.2%
  • Total population: 284,948

36. San Marcos, TX

Source: dlewis33 / iStock Unreleased via Getty Images

Source: dlewis33 / iStock Unreleased via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 82.0/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $1.9 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +12.0%
  • Total population: 67,143

35. Greenville, TX

An abandoned blue house in Greenville, Texas
Source: Sabrina Janelle Gordon / Shutterstock.com

Source: Sabrina Janelle Gordon / Shutterstock.com
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 82.6/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $1.0 million
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +9.5%
  • Total population: 28,923

34. League City, TX

South Shore Harbor in League City, TX
Source: Daggs Droneworks / Shutterstock.com

Source: Daggs Droneworks / Shutterstock.com
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 82.9/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $10.6 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +15.5%
  • Total population: 113,469

33. Corpus Christi, TX

Source: RoschetzkyIstockPhoto / iStock via Getty Images

Source: RoschetzkyIstockPhoto / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 84.1/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $14.8 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: -1.5%
  • Total population: 317,804

32. Frisco, TX

Source: Fang Zheng / iStock Editorial via Getty Images

Source: Fang Zheng / iStock Editorial via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 85.2/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $28.5 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +30.1%
  • Total population: 202,075

31. Mission Bend, TX

Mission Bend. Texas. USA
Source: SevenMaps / Shutterstock.com

Source: SevenMaps / Shutterstock.com
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 85.3/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $1.9 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: -1.9%
  • Total population: 37,853

30. Harlingen, TX

Source: DavieJones13 / iStock via Getty Images

Source: DavieJones13 / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 85.5/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $2.1 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +9.2%
  • Total population: 71,497

29. McKinney, TX

Source: AlizadaStudios / iStock Editorial via Getty Images

Source: AlizadaStudios / iStock Editorial via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 86.3/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $19.0 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +19.1%
  • Total population: 196,160

28. Brownsville, TX

Source: DenisTangneyJr / iStock via Getty Images

Source: DenisTangneyJr / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 87.1/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $4.7 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +2.7%
  • Total population: 186,999

27. Sugar Land, TX

Source: carrollmt / iStock via Getty Images

Source: carrollmt / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 87.5/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $13.4 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +26.7%
  • Total population: 110,077

26. Missouri City, TX

MISSOURI CITY, TEXAS, USA - November 10, 2017: Flags of the United States and patriotic posters drawn by students erected near Sienna Crossing Elementary school to celebrate Veterans Day
Source: michelmond / Shutterstock.com

Source: michelmond / Shutterstock.com
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 87.6/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $6.0 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +2.5%
  • Total population: 74,517

25. Allen, TX

A scenic view of Radha Krishna Temple in Allen, Texas, against a clear blue sky on a sunny day
Source: Wirestock Creators / Shutterstock.com

Source: Wirestock Creators / Shutterstock.com
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 87.9/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $10.9 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +8.9%
  • Total population: 105,444

24. Weslaco, TX

Source: Cheri Alguire / iStock via Getty Images

Source: Cheri Alguire / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 88.0/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $1.0 million
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +3.6%
  • Total population: 40,858

23. Beaumont, TX

Source: DenisTangneyJr / iStock via Getty Images

Source: DenisTangneyJr / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 88.0/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $4.5 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: -3.3%
  • Total population: 114,573

22. Edinburg, TX

Source: BOB WESTON / iStock via Getty Images

Source: BOB WESTON / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 88.0/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $3.2 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +17.2%
  • Total population: 100,964

21. Houston, TX

Source: Art Wager / E+ via Getty Images

Source: Art Wager / E+ via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 88.1/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $136.4 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +1.3%
  • Total population: 2,296,253

20. Wylie, TX

Source: renal / iStock via Getty Images

Source: renal / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 88.4/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $4.7 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +19.2%
  • Total population: 57,063

19. Prosper, TX

America Flag and Lone Star Texas State Flag waving in the wind over Midland, Texas
Source: NayaDadara / Shutterstock.com

Source: NayaDadara / Shutterstock.com
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 88.8/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $5.7 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +84.2%
  • Total population: 31,507

18. Spring, TX

Curve-billed Thrasher. Toxostoma curvirostre. Big Spring, TX. 14 Jan. 2021
Source: Gilbert S. Grant / Shutterstock.com

Source: Gilbert S. Grant / Shutterstock.com
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 89.0/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $3.4 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +10.4%
  • Total population: 63,930

17. Corsicana, TX

Source: Jacob Boomsma / iStock via Getty Images

Source: Jacob Boomsma / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 89.2/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $1.0 million
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +6.0%
  • Total population: 25,107

16. Atascocita, TX

Atascocita. Texas. USA
Source: SevenMaps / Shutterstock.com

Source: SevenMaps / Shutterstock.com
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 89.2/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $6.9 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +18.6%
  • Total population: 89,121

15. Port Arthur, TX

Source: DenisTangneyJr / iStock via Getty Images

Source: DenisTangneyJr / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 89.9/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $1.7 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +1.3%
  • Total population: 55,897

14. Victoria, TX

Victoria+Texas | Victoria, Texas
Source: kenlund / Flickr

Victoria is a city in the U.S. state of Texas. It is the county seat of Victoria County. The population was 86,793 as of the 2010 census. The three counties of the Victoria Metropolitan Statistical Area had a population of 111,163 as of the 2000 census. Victoria is located 30 miles inland from the Gulf of Mexico. The city is a regional hub for a seven-county area known as the "Golden Crescent", and serves a retail trade area of over 250,000 people. Victoria is known as "The Crossroads" because of its location within a two-hour drive of Corpus Christi, Houston, San Antonio, and Austin. Victoria is named for General Guadalupe Victoria, who became the first president of independent Mexico. Victoria is the cathedral city of the Roman Catholic Diocese of Victoria in Texas. Victoria is located on the coastal plains of Texas about 50 miles from the Gulf of Mexico and 20 miles from the nearest bay waters. It lies along and just to the east of the Guadalupe River. The top...

Source: kenlund / Flickr
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 90.2/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $2.9 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: -1.6%
  • Total population: 65,481

13. Deer Park, TX

Aerial view of water tower in Deer Park, Texas
Source: Lucio Vasquez / Shutterstock.com

Source: Lucio Vasquez / Shutterstock.com
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 90.4/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $2.3 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +0.9%
  • Total population: 34,046

12. Kingsville, TX

Source: BOB WESTON / iStock via Getty Images

Source: BOB WESTON / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 90.4/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $0.6 million
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: -2.4%
  • Total population: 25,265

11. Pearland, TX

Pearland, TX, USA - April 12, 2024: One of the pear sculptures along State Highway 288 in Pearland, TX, USA.
Source: JHVEPhoto / Shutterstock.com

Source: JHVEPhoto / Shutterstock.com
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 91.0/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $10.7 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +9.5%
  • Total population: 124,478

10. Baytown, TX

Bridge over the shipping channel in Baytown, TX
Source: Christian Perry / Shutterstock.com

Source: Christian Perry / Shutterstock.com
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 93.2/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $3.0 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +10.8%
  • Total population: 84,449

9. Pasadena, TX

Source: Citysqwirl / iStock via Getty Images

Source: Citysqwirl / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 93.3/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $5.3 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: -2.1%
  • Total population: 150,620

8. La Porte, TX

Source: TrongNguyen / iStock via Getty Images

Source: TrongNguyen / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 93.5/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $2.1 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +1.6%
  • Total population: 35,782

7. Rosenberg, TX

Spotted a White Ibis (Eudocimus albus) at Brazos Bend State Park in Rosenberg, TX in March
Source: rlsmithtx / Shutterstock.com

Source: rlsmithtx / Shutterstock.com
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 93.8/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $1.6 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +8.0%
  • Total population: 38,722

6. Friendswood, TX

Three flags in the wind: United States, State of Texas, and the town of Friendswood, TX
Source: Patrish Jackson / Shutterstock.com

Source: Patrish Jackson / Shutterstock.com
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 94.5/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $4.4 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +5.4%
  • Total population: 40,888

5. Channelview, TX

Welcome to Texas State Sign
Source: Nick Fox / Shutterstock.com

Source: Nick Fox / Shutterstock.com
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 95.1/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $1.7 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +5.4%
  • Total population: 43,204

4. Texas City, TX

Halfmoon Shoal Lighthouse (Replica) in Texas City
Source: amy71465 / Shutterstock.com

Source: amy71465 / Shutterstock.com
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 95.6/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $2.3 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +12.3%
  • Total population: 53,084

3. Lake Jackson, TX

A Roseate Spoonbill wading through the muddy marsh land of Brazoria National Wildlife Refuge located in Lake Jackson, Texas 2017
Source: The Bohemian Lens / Shutterstock.com

Source: The Bohemian Lens / Shutterstock.com
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 96.1/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $1.7 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +2.3%
  • Total population: 27,954

2. Alvin, TX

Source: Acc3552 / Wikimedia Commons

Source: Acc3552 / Wikimedia Commons
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 98.6/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $1.1 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +5.9%
  • Total population: 27,325

1. Galveston, TX

Source: kat-co / iStock via Getty Images

Source: kat-co / iStock via Getty Images
  • FEMA National Risk Index score: 99.3/100
  • Total value of owner-occupied homes: $3.7 billion
  • Population change, 2017 to 2022: +7.2%
  • Total population: 53,265
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