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How Each Team Will Finish This NFL Season

How Each Team Will Finish This NFL Season

As the 2021 NFL season gets underway, fanbases across the country will sit down to watch their teams in the hopes that they can make a deep playoff run and win the Super Bowl. 

While every fanbase can hope for the best, the reality is that only a handful of teams actually have the talent, coaching, and experience to stand a chance at winning it all. Even the best teams face an uphill climb to reach the Super Bowl and some franchises that are in the midst of rebuilding their rosters have astronomically low odds of even reaching the playoffs.

To determine how each NFL team will finish the 2021 season, 24/7 Tempo reviewed FiveThirtyEight’s 2021 NFL predictions for how the season will play out, based on 50,000 simulated games, as of September 23, 2021. Supplemental data came from Pro Football Reference.

With 32 teams vying for the Lombardi Trophy, even the most talented teams face a difficult challenge in their quest to win the title. No franchise has a more than 16% chance of winning the Super Bowl this season, according to FiveThirtyEight. Any team can have their season be derailed by injuries, or make crucial mistakes in a playoff game. Some teams, however, seem to have virtually no chance to make it to the Super Bowl.  

Many downtrodden franchises just don’t have the talent to compete with perennial playoff teams, and have a less than 1% chance to win it all. Some of these teams are breaking in highly touted rookies or second-year quarterbacks that they hope can turn around the franchise sooner rather than later. These are the youngest athletes to dominate their sport.

Source: James Gilbert / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

32. Jacksonville Jaguars
> Projected record: 4-13
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 5%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: <0.1%
> 2020 record: 1-15

Source: Bob Levey / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

31. Houston Texans
> Projected record: 5-12
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 6%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: <0.1%
> 2020 record: 4-12

Source: Patrick McDermott / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

30. New York Jets
> Projected record: 5-12
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 4%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: <0.1%
> 2020 record: 2-14

Source: Quinn Harris / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

29. Detroit Lions
> Projected record: 4-13
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 5%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: <0.1%
> 2020 record: 5-11

Source: Douglas P. DeFelice / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

28. Atlanta Falcons
> Projected record: 6-11
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 8%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.1%
> 2020 record: 4-12

Source: Tim Nwachukwu / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

27. New York Giants
> Projected record: 6-11
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 11%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.2%
> 2020 record: 6-10

Source: Andy Lyons / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

26. Cincinnati Bengals
> Projected record: 7-10
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 18%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.4%
> 2020 record: 4-11-1

Source: Jonathan Daniel / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

25. Chicago Bears
> Projected record: 7-10
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 25%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.6%
> 2020 record: 8-8

Source: Rob Carr / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

24. Washington Football Team
> Projected record: 6-11
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 20%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.7%
> 2020 record: 7-9

Source: Justin Casterline / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

23. Indianapolis Colts
> Projected record: 7-10
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 34%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.9%
> 2020 record: 11-5

Source: Mitchell Leff / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

22. Philadelphia Eagles
> Projected record: 8-9
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 33%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.9%
> 2020 record: 4-11-1

Source: Norm Hall / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

21. Minnesota Vikings
> Projected record: 7-10
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 31%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 1%
> 2020 record: 7-9

Source: Justin K. Aller / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

20. Pittsburgh Steelers
> Projected record: 8-9
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 33%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 1%
> 2020 record: 12-4

Source: Michael Reaves / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

19. Miami Dolphins
> Projected record: 9-8
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 43%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 1%
> 2020 record: 10-6

Source: Wesley Hitt / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

18. Tennessee Titans
> Projected record: 9-8
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 68%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 2%
> 2020 record: 11-5

Source: Kathryn Riley / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

17. New England Patriots
> Projected record: 9-8
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 47%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 2%
> 2020 record: 7-9

Source: Rob Carr / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

16. Los Angeles Chargers
> Projected record: 9-8
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 40%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 2%
> 2020 record: 7-9

Source: Grant Halverson / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

15. Carolina Panthers
> Projected record: 9-8
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 49%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 2%
> 2020 record: 5-11

Source: Chris Graythen / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

14. New Orleans Saints
> Projected record: 9-8
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 49%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 3%
> 2020 record: 12-4

Source: Ronald Martinez / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

13. Dallas Cowboys
> Projected record: 9-8
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 59%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 3%
> 2020 record: 6-10

Source: Dylan Buell / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

12. Green Bay Packers
> Projected record: 9-8
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 59%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 3%
> 2020 record: 13-3

Source: Justin Casterline / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

11. Seattle Seahawks
> Projected record: 10-7
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 52%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 3%
> 2020 record: 12-4

Source: Christian Petersen / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

10. Las Vegas Raiders
> Projected record: 10-7
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 54%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 3%
> 2020 record: 8-8

Source: Justin K. Aller / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

9. Cleveland Browns
> Projected record: 10-7
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 56%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 4%
> 2020 record: 11-5

Source: Kevork Djansezian / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

8. Arizona Cardinals
> Projected record: 10-7
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 61%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 4%
> 2020 record: 8-8

Source: Julio Aguilar / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

7. Denver Broncos
> Projected record: 11-6
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 65%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 4%
> 2020 record: 5-11

Source: Wesley Hitt / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

6. Baltimore Ravens
> Projected record: 10-7
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 65%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 6%
> 2020 record: 11-5

Source: Gregory Shamus / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

5. San Francisco 49ers
> Projected record: 11-6
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 76%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 6%
> 2020 record: 6-10

Source: Timothy T Ludwig / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

4. Buffalo Bills
> Projected record: 11-6
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 82%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 8%
> 2020 record: 13-3

Source: Harry How / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

3. Los Angeles Rams
> Projected record: 11-6
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 74%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 9%
> 2020 record: 10-6

Source: Jamie Squire / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

2. Kansas City Chiefs
> Projected record: 12-5
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 81%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 13%
> 2020 record: 14-2

Source: Dylan Buell / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
> Projected record: 12-5
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 89%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 16%
> 2020 record: 11-5

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