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After Week 12, What Is Your Team’s Chance to Win the Super Bowl?

After Week 12, What Is Your Team’s Chance to Win the Super Bowl?

Week 12 of the NFL season pitted several playoff contenders against each other, and the results could have a huge impact on the final playoff picture. A large number of teams are hovering around .500, just within striking distance of the playoffs, setting up a mad scramble toward the end of the regular season.

While many teams are struggling to stay relevant, others are proving why they are serious Super Bowl contenders. Only four teams have at least a 10% chance of winning the Super Bowl this season.

To determine how each NFL team will finish the 2021 season, 24/7 Tempo reviews each week FiveThirtyEight’s 2021 NFL Predictions, which are based on 50,000 simulated games and are updated after every game. The predictions are as of Nov. 30, 2021, and teams are ranked by their projected chance of winning the Super Bowl. Supplemental data came from Pro Football Reference.

The NFL’s marquee matchup for Week 12 saw the Green Bay Packers defeat the Los Angeles Rams 36-28. Reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers threw for over 300 yards and two touchdowns. as the Packers looked like the best team in the NFL. The Rams, meanwhile, have struggled to integrate new additions Von Miller and Odell Beckham Jr. into their team and lost their third game in a row, dropping to 7-4.

Elsewhere, the Baltimore Ravens now lead the AFC with a record of 8-3, after they beat the Cleveland Browns in an ugly 16-10 game. Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson threw four interceptions, but the defense bailed him out and shut down the Browns rushing attack.

The New England Patriots stifled the Tennessee Titans 36-13, giving both teams an 8-4 record. The Patriots are now just a half-game out of first place in the AFC. It appears the team has returned to dominance after posting its first losing season in two decades in 2020. These are the NFL teams with the most consecutive winning seasons.

Source: Quinn Harris / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

32. Detroit Lions
> Current record: 0-10-1
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: <0.1%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: <0.1%
> 2020 record: 5-11

Source: Alex Pantling / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

31. Jacksonville Jaguars
> Current record: 2-9
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: <0.1%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: <0.1%
> 2020 record: 1-15

Source: Jason Miller / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

30. Houston Texans
> Current record: 2-9
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: <0.1%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: <0.1%
> 2020 record: 4-12

Source: Al Bello / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

29. New York Jets
> Current record: 3-8
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: <0.1%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: <0.1%
> 2020 record: 2-14

Source: Ezra Shaw / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

28. Seattle Seahawks
> Current record: 3-8
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 1%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: <0.1%
> 2020 record: 12-4

Source: Jonathan Daniel / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

27. Chicago Bears
> Current record: 4-7
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 2%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: <0.1%
> 2020 record: 8-8

Source: Michael Reaves / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

26. Atlanta Falcons
> Current record: 5-6
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 8%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: <0.1%
> 2020 record: 4-12

Source: Tim Nwachukwu / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

25. New York Giants
> Current record: 4-7
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 5%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: <0.1%
> 2020 record: 6-10

Source: Christian Petersen / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

24. Carolina Panthers
> Current record: 5-7
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 5%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: <0.1%
> 2020 record: 5-11

Source: Justin K. Aller / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

23. Pittsburgh Steelers
> Current record: 5-5-1
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 10%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.1%
> 2020 record: 12-4

Source: Mitchell Leff / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

22. Philadelphia Eagles
> Current record: 5-7
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 22%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.2%
> 2020 record: 4-11-1

Source: Christian Petersen / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

21. Las Vegas Raiders
> Current record: 6-5
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 19%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.3%
> 2020 record: 8-8

Source: Michael Reaves / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

20. Miami Dolphins
> Current record: 5-7
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 9%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.3%
> 2020 record: 10-6

Source: Steph Chambers / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

19. New Orleans Saints
> Current record: 5-6
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 24%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.3%
> 2020 record: 12-4

Source: Joe Sargent / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

18. Cleveland Browns
> Current record: 6-6
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 19%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.4%
> 2020 record: 11-5

Source: Richard Rodriguez / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

17. Denver Broncos
> Current record: 6-5
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 27%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.6%
> 2020 record: 5-11

Source: David Berding / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

16. Minnesota Vikings
> Current record: 5-6
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 49%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.8%
> 2020 record: 7-9

Source: Patrick Smith / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

15. Washington Football Team
> Current record: 5-6
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 44%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 1%
> 2020 record: 7-9

Source: Gregory Shamus / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

14. San Francisco 49ers
> Current record: 6-5
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 73%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 2%
> 2020 record: 6-10

Source: Ronald Martinez / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

13. Los Angeles Chargers
> Current record: 6-5
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 50%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 2%
> 2020 record: 7-9

Source: Justin Casterline / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

12. Indianapolis Colts
> Current record: 6-6
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 53%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 2%
> 2020 record: 11-5

Source: Sean M. Haffey / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

11. Los Angeles Rams
> Current record: 7-4
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 83%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 2%
> 2020 record: 10-6

Source: Joe Sargent / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

10. Cincinnati Bengals
> Current record: 7-4
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 65%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 3%
> 2020 record: 4-11-1

Source: Richard Rodriguez / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

9. Dallas Cowboys
> Current record: 7-4
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 85%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 3%
> 2020 record: 6-10

Source: Wesley Hitt / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

8. Tennessee Titans
> Current record: 8-4
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 98%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 4%
> 2020 record: 11-5

Source: Timothy T Ludwig / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

7. Buffalo Bills
> Current record: 7-4
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 86%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 8%
> 2020 record: 13-3

Source: Andy Lyons / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

6. Baltimore Ravens
> Current record: 8-3
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 91%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 8%
> 2020 record: 11-5

Source: Jamie Squire / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

5. Kansas City Chiefs
> Current record: 7-4
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 84%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 9%
> 2020 record: 14-2

Source: Adam Glanzman / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

4. New England Patriots
> Current record: 8-4
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 91%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 10%
> 2020 record: 7-9

Source: Dylan Buell / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
> Current record: 8-3
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: >99%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 12%
> 2020 record: 11-5

Source: Ronald Martinez / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

2. Arizona Cardinals
> Current record: 9-2
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: >99%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 13%
> 2020 record: 8-8

Source: Wesley Hitt / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

1. Green Bay Packers
> Current record: 9-3
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: >99%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 17%
> 2020 record: 13-3

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