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After Week 10, This Is Every NFL Team’s Chance To Win the Super Bowl

After Week 10, This Is Every NFL Team’s Chance To Win the Super Bowl

After 10 weeks of the 2021 NFL season, fans are starting to get a clearer picture of which teams are likely to make the playoffs. Many top teams faltered during week 10, giving their fans cause for concern, while other playoff contenders looked the part in convincing wins.

The Tennessee Titans have staked their claim as the top team in the NFL. After beating the New Orleans Saints on Sunday, they now hold the NFL’s longest active win streak at six games — five of which came against teams that made the 2020 playoffs. The Green Bay Packers cruised to a 17-0 win against the Seattle Seahawks, putting them in the driver’s seat for the NFC’s top playoff seed. With just one bye available per conference, Tennessee and Green Bay are well positioned for a Super Bowl run.

To determine how each NFL team will finish the 2021 season, 24/7 Tempo reviews each week FiveThirtyEight’s 2021 NFL Predictions, which are based on 50,000 simulated games and are updated after every game. The predictions are as of Nov. 16, 2021, and teams are ranked by their projected chance of winning the Super Bowl. Supplemental data came from Pro Football Reference.

Earlier in the season, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Arizona Cardinals appeared to be the class of the NFC. But both suffered surprising losses on Sunday — the Bucs lost 29-19 to the Washington Football Team and the Cardinals floundered without starting QB Kyler Murray, losing to the Carolina Panthers 34-10.

The Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots both scored 45 points and won handily over the New York Jets and Cleveland Browns, respectively. Both teams have six wins, setting up a late-season showdown for the AFC East.

The AFC North is muddled as well, as all four teams in the division have either five or six wins. Its teams struggled in week 10, as the Baltimore Ravens lost to the lowly Miami Dolphins. The Cincinnati Bengals were on a bye week, and the aforementioned Browns received a drubbing. Perhaps most surprisingly, the Pittsburgh Steelers tied against the still-winless Detroit Lions. These are the NFL teams with the all-time worst losing streaks.

Source: Nic Antaya / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

32. Detroit Lions
> Current record: 0-8-1
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: <0.1%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: <0.1%
> 2020 record: 5-11

Source: Jason Miller / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

31. Houston Texans
> Current record: 1-8
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: <0.1%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: <0.1%
> 2020 record: 4-12

Source: Al Bello / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

30. New York Jets
> Current record: 2-7
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 0.1%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: <0.1%
> 2020 record: 2-14

Source: Alex Pantling / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

29. Jacksonville Jaguars
> Current record: 2-7
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 0.1%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: <0.1%
> 2020 record: 1-15

Source: Chris Unger / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

28. Chicago Bears
> Current record: 3-6
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 4%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: <0.1%
> 2020 record: 8-8

Source: Ryan Pierse / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

27. Atlanta Falcons
> Current record: 4-5
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 9%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: <0.1%
> 2020 record: 4-12

Source: Michael Reaves / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

26. Miami Dolphins
> Current record: 3-7
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 4%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: <0.1%
> 2020 record: 10-6

Source: Mike Stobe / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

25. New York Giants
> Current record: 3-6
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 5%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: <0.1%
> 2020 record: 6-10

Source: Richard Rodriguez / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

24. Denver Broncos
> Current record: 5-5
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 21%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.3%
> 2020 record: 5-11

Source: Rob Carr / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

23. Washington Football Team
> Current record: 3-6
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 12%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.4%
> 2020 record: 7-9

Source: Christian Petersen / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

22. Las Vegas Raiders
> Current record: 5-4
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 28%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.4%
> 2020 record: 8-8

Source: Abbie Parr / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

21. Seattle Seahawks
> Current record: 5-6
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 17%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.4%
> 2020 record: 12-4

Source: Richard Rodriguez / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

20. Philadelphia Eagles
> Current record: 4-6
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 26%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.4%
> 2020 record: 4-11

Source: Rob Carr / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

19. Cincinnati Bengals
> Current record: 5-4
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 38%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.8%
> 2020 record: 4-11

Source: Thearon W. Henderson / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

18. San Francisco 49ers
> Current record: 4-5
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 35%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 0.9%
> 2020 record: 6-10

Source: Nic Antaya / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

17. Cleveland Browns
> Current record: 5-5
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 39%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 1%
> 2020 record: 11-5

Source: Norm Hall / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

16. Minnesota Vikings
> Current record: 4-5
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 41%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 1%
> 2020 record: 7-9

Source: Grant Halverson / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

15. Carolina Panthers
> Current record: 5-5
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 35%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 1%
> 2020 record: 5-11

Source: Justin K. Aller / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

14. Pittsburgh Steelers
> Current record: 5-3-1
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 39%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 1%
> 2020 record: 12-4

Source: Chris Graythen / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

13. New Orleans Saints
> Current record: 5-4
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 47%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 1%
> 2020 record: 12-4

Source: Justin Casterline / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

12. Indianapolis Colts
> Current record: 5-5
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 46%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 1%
> 2020 record: 11-5

Source: Katelyn Mulcahy / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

11. Los Angeles Chargers
> Current record: 5-4
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 63%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 3%
> 2020 record: 7-9

Source: Patrick Smith / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

10. Baltimore Ravens
> Current record: 7-3
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 74%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 4%
> 2020 record: 11-5

Source: Kevork Djansezian / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

9. Los Angeles Rams
> Current record: 7-3
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 86%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 4%
> 2020 record: 10-6

Source: Adam Glanzman / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

8. New England Patriots
> Current record: 7-4
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 74%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 4%
> 2020 record: 7-9

Source: Jamie Squire / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

7. Kansas City Chiefs
> Current record: 7-4
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 82%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 7%
> 2020 record: 14-2

Source: Stacy Revere / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
> Current record: 7-3
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 89%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 8%
> 2020 record: 11-5

Source: Ezra Shaw / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

5. Arizona Cardinals
> Current record: 8-2
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 98%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 9%
> 2020 record: 8-8

Source: Julio Aguilar / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

4. Dallas Cowboys
> Current record: 7-2
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 96%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 9%
> 2020 record: 6-10

Source: Timothy T Ludwig / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

3. Buffalo Bills
> Current record: 7-3
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: 92%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 11%
> 2020 record: 13-3

Source: Stacy Revere / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

2. Green Bay Packers
> Current record: 8-2
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: >99%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 16%
> 2020 record: 13-3

Source: Andy Lyons / Getty Images Sport via Getty Images

1. Tennessee Titans
> Current record: 8-2
> Pct. chance to make playoffs: >99%
> Pct. chance to win Super Bowl: 16%
> 2020 record: 11-5

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